Often times a flop overbet makes it look like you're bluffing, either with air or some kind of draw. Do you ever overbet on the flop out of position with a strong hand like 2 pair or a set?
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When you're OOP I guess it really just depends on the opponent you'd be betting into. Are they aggressive and capable of shoving over the top with a bluff-raise, or are they a passive player who will just fold out.
However I think a flop overbet to induce a call can pretty effective against all types of players, it's just a matter of getting them to read that bet as a semi-bluff of some type thus making a call the "correct" move.
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This works against weak players, a good player do not call with out odds.
Against a thinking player this would be all about meta-game / leveling. At the stakes I play (small) it might be just fancy play syndrome. However I do admit to calling pot sized or over bets on the flop because it looks so much like a bluff. Against players who I know are regulars, and I know have seen me, I probably over think it.
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I have overbet flops, but probably too much to make it profitable.
I'm starting to think using a standard c-bet is just as effective and probably more likely to be called than an overbet right. So if a villain will only call an overbet 10-25% of the time, but standard c-bets 50-75% of the time, it's more profitable to get more calls with a bet more likely to be called.
I don't have any hard stats to match the theory but it's interesting nonetheless.
I think if you use an overbet against a thinking player a small percent of the time you'll find it has increased effectiveness.
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